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| Cover Story Vol. 3 Issue No. 44 | February 16-29, 2008 |
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After the poll
debacle in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, the Congress is hopeful of doing
well in the three North-Eastern states. According to an internal assessment
made by the party, Congress is all set to return to power in Nagaland;
hopeful of retaining power in Meghalaya and putting up an improved
performance in Tripura. According to
the central leadership of the party winning back Nagaland will be a no mean
achievement. Rather, it would strengthen the party’s claim that Congress
is the only party to combat terrorism effectively, which in the process will
dilute the BJP allegation that it (Congress) is soft towards terror. As
three BJP-ruled states will go to poll by the end of this year, Congress has
already started planning to maximize the gains from Nagaland. The leadership
is in no mood to heed to the advice that there is still some time before the
voting actually takes place and it will be premature to count the gains from
now on. On the other hand, some leaders of the party is optimistic enough
that the party will manage to get at least 35 seats in a house of 60. But the
optimism of the central leaders is not matching with that of state leaders.
The state leadership is putting the figure around 25. According to Congress
insiders in Nagaland, the party could manage to touch the magic figure of
31, if the leadership did not succumb to the pulls and pressures of some
senior leaders while choosing the party candidates. It may be mentioned here
that the party needed nearly three weeks to name 60 candidates, that too in
three installments, which actually frustrated the party workers and took out
a lot of strings from the Congress campaign. However, the party’s state
leadership is sure that Congress will emerge as the single-largest party and
will manage to form the government with the help of smaller parties. Regarding
Meghalaya, the party is confident to keep intact its position. Meghalaya
electorate may not give a clear mandate in favour of the party, but that
will not block the party’s way to retain power in this North-Eastern
State. Rather, the party is optimistic of doing well in Garo Hills
notwithstanding the return of P. A. Sangma to state politics. Congress
leadership claims that the support base of Mr. Sangma among the Garo people
is eroding fast and this election will prove that beyond doubt. However, to
know the reality, one will have to wait till the counting day. Congress, it
appears, has given up hope of returning to power in Tripura. The party
leadership is blaming internal feuds within the party for this. According to
one senior Congress leader, looking after the North-Eastern states,
infighting ruined the chances of the party in Tripura. The party will now
have to remain satisfied by putting up a close fight, he opined. The
situation is so bad that TPCC president Samir Ranjan Barman had to admit
that the party was facing serious trouble following internal strife which
could harm its prospects in the elections. “The AICC has taken the matter
seriously and we are also trying to track down the persons responsible for
damaging the party prospects in the election,” Mr. Barman warned, adding
that the decision with regard to disciplinary action against the dissidents
would be taken by the appropriate authorities soon. The Congress has fielded
candidates in 49 seats while the rest 11 in the 60-member Assembly were
allotted to its ally INPT The party
leadership is hopeful that the election results in the three North-Eastern
states will help to boost the moral of the party workers and supporters,
which is low at present as for a long time the party has failed to achieve
any noteworthy electoral success. Some leaders feel that the party’s
electoral fortune may take an up ward turn from these North-Eastern states. Never had any
single party formed a government on its own in Meghalaya’s political
history. However, the incumbent Congress party is confident of changing the
trend in its favour by forming a government without any alliance. With barely a
week left, the Congress has hit the campaign trail hard, with a host of
leaders lined up to visit the State, today it was Union Minister of State
for Labour, Oscar Fernandes telling reporters that the Congress would form a
government on its own strength. “The Congress
would emerge as the single largest party and form a government of its
own,” Fernandes averred. But, the
political wind seems to have already unsettled the Congress party with the
electorates expressing unhappiness over its performance during the past five
years. Presently, the
Congress heads the MDA Government with the support of four regional parties
– United Democratic Party, Meghalaya Democratic Party, Hill State People
Democratic Party and Khun Hynniewtrep National Awakening Movement. The Congress
has fielded candidates in all the 60 Assembly constituencies, with Chief
Minister DD Lapang leading the race seeking re-election from Nongpoh.
However, the incumbent Chief Minister’s popularity has plummeted. Significantly,
a MDP candidate, Robinson Dkhar, withdrew his candidature from Nongpoh
constituency in support of UDP candidate Dr Celestine Lyngdoh, touted to be
a favourite in upsetting Lapang. “Yes Dkhar has withdrawn in support of
me,” Lyngdoh confirmed over the phone. In 2003,
Congress fielded 60 candidates and bagged just 22 seats. The party, however,
increased its tally in the House after six Nationalist Congress Party MLA
switched over. This time too, the Congress has fielded candidates in all 60
seats. The biggest
threat the Congress faces, is from its stronghold in Garo Hills (24 seats),
with the NCP going full throttle holding the Congress responsible for the
death of nine persons and several injuries in the 2005 police firing. The Tripura
Pradesh Congress Committee (TPCC) has warned of action against rebel
candidates and leaders for their alleged anti-party activities ahead of the
Assembly elections on February 23. TPCC president
Samir Ranjan Barman said that the party was facing serious trouble following
internal strife which could harm its prospects in the elections. “The AICC has
taken the matter seriously and we are also trying to track down the persons
responsible for damaging the party prospects in the election,” Barman
said, adding that the decision with regard to disciplinary action against
the dissidents would be taken by the appropriate authorities soon. The
Congress has fielded candidates in 49 seats while the rest 11 in the
60-member Assembly were allotted to its ally INPT. Meanwhile, in
the Ramchandraghat and Pramodenagar seats, the NCT and INPT aspirants were
pitted against each other. At the same
time, in Kurti constituency, dissident Congress candidate Abdul Matin
Choudhury remained in the fray as an Independent with the official party
nominee Nurul Haque. In Sabroom,
another rebel Congress aspirant Premtosh Debnath would contest as the Party
for Democratic Socialism (PDS) candidate. However, the Congress bid to put
up a direct fight against the ruling Left Front in all the seats had
virtually fallen through as after the withdrawal of nominations, a
triangular contest was on the cards in at least four constituencies. “It is the
INPT that played spoilsport in a broad-based anti-Left platform in these
constituencies. It is because of their objections that even in one seat, the
Congress could not tie up with us,” NCT MLA Animesh Debbarma rued. Political
parties in Tripura are generating business for the residents engaged in the
task of making flags and posters ahead of the State elections slated for
February 23. “We are
getting orders for printing of posters in thousands though we had presumed
that we would get orders only for a few hundred posters. The orders are
increasing day-by-day. Our machines are printing nonstop for the last 20-25
days, and we are yet to complete the target,” said K Dey, flex printing
unit owner. The banners
displayed in every nook and corner of the street as a part of publicity has
given scope to the people to earn money. For the people
involved in the making of posters and other campaign props, election is a
golden opportunity as it generates good income. With the
introduction of computers and graphics, the poster making technique has also
undergone tremendous change. “This is
electronic age so people are laying more stress on designing to get unique
pattern with the help of graphics generated through computers. The demand of
these computer designed graphics is high, as people now don’t go for
handmade work and look for variety resulting in the increase of orders,”
said Ajay Das, an owner of printing unit. Tailors are
also busy making flags, carpenters are constructing frames for fixing
posters, flexes and banners while the flex makers along with the graphic
designers are working round the clock designing posters and fulfilling
orders from various political parties. As a part of
their election campaign, parties are actively engaged in organizing big
rallies and meetings. Voting in will
take place on February 23 and counting of ballots will take place on March
7. The five-year
term of the 60-member state assembly ends in March. About 50 tribal
and other rebel groups are fighting against Central rule, demanding either
independence or greater political autonomy in the State. The rebels
accuse Centre for exploiting the region’s rich mineral resources and
neglecting the local economy. Besides
projecting themselves as chief ministerial candidates, three senior Congress
leaders in Meghalaya have already talked about a coalition government in the
event of a hung Assembly. The three leaders are Chief Minister DD Lapang,
former Chief Minister Salseng C Marak and Deputy Chief Minister Dr Mukul
Sangma. Salseng C Marak
has already made his intention known. Marak told The Sentinel over telephone
from Resulbelapara today, “I have never aspired for any post, but never
shed any responsibility bestowed on me. I have taken the task of being the
Chief Minister and completed my five-year tenure from 1998-2003 due to the
faith bestowed on me by my party MLAs and workers, and if it comes to my way
again, I will take it humbly.” Similarly,
Deputy Chief Minister Dr Mukul Sangma said, “I am a contender for the
chief minister’s post”. While making his contention clear, Dr Marak took
a swipe at the NCP by stating, “The multiplicity of choice that our party
has should not be read as a clamour for the big post. We want to prove that
our set-up gives people a choice, It’s unlike the NCP which has no other
projected leader than PA Sangma”. Similarly,
Chief Minister DD Lapang is another contender. With his links with AICC
leaders, Lapang is always a man in the race for the chief minister’s
chair, should the Congress come back to power. More so, with a
hung Assembly looming large, Lapang and Marak are also talking about a
coalition with like-minded parties. “Congress is open to alliance with any
parties, including regional parties and the NCP, except the BJP in the event
of a hung Assembly after the elections,” Lapang told newsmen today. Marak
said, “Though we know that our party will get the maximum seats, we are
ready to form the Government with like-minded parties.” The campaign
for the Nagaland Assembly elections, scheduled for March 5, was gradually
picking up pace as various national, regional and local parties geared up to
garner support for their candidates. The Nagaland
Peoples Front (NPF), the major coalition partner of the ruling Democratic
Alliance of Nagaland (DAN) Government, with their star campaigner former
Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio, had been organizing rallies at various places in
Kohima and Phek district. The NPF
declared a list of 55 candidates for the 60-member Assembly elections and
the list was likely to be the final, as they had left five seats for their
DAN coalition partner candidates. The main rival
of the NPF - the Congress was yet to kickstart its campaign, although some
national leaders were expected to arrive in the State to woo the voters. The Congress
had already declared its list of candidates for all the 60 seats of the
Assembly constituencies. One of the
partners of the DAN coalition, the BJP, had also declared the list of its
candidates for 24 seats throughout the state and it was likely to be their
final list. Meanwhile, the
BJP was also yet to start its campaign, although national spokesman Rajiv
Pratap Ruddy had informed that the party would bring star campaigners,
including party president Rajnath Singh, Sushma Swaraj, Arun Jaitley,
Venkaiah Naidu, Hema Malini and Navjot Singh Sidhu to canvass in the
North-Eastern state. The Nationalist
Congress Party (NCP) also declared a list of eight candidates while the
Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) would contest on seven seats. The Lok Janashakti
Party (LJP) also fielded two candidates.
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